Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSuç ve Adalet3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 82%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
21 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 May 23 00:22 UTC1 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
N/A if DeSantis is not elected.
- Otherwise resolves the same as the unconditional version:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/will-ron-desantis-american-politici) Probably the conditional is significantly higher because it increases the motivation of DAs who have a lot of discretion.
