Veri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 04:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 85.7%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Mar 25 05:23 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
Manifold MarketsWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketWill Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia's Blackwell chips be sold in China by the end of 2026?
Futuur[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves yes if China is able to produce <= 3 nm chips at a ~70% yield rate.
- Will settle to credible sources, such as SemiAnalysis reports.
- Company press reports would not count.
- Considerations
- "Yield rate" refers to the percentage of functioning chips produced from each silicon wafer.
- A 70% yield rate is considered reasonably good for semiconductor manufacturing.
