Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 80.6%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli23 Tem 26 23:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 23, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, any member of the UK Cabinet under Prime Minister Andy Burnham formally resigns from their Cabinet post.
- Cabinet Minister Definition: Any individual officially listed as a member of the Cabinet of the United Kingdom on GOV.UK or widely reported by major media outlets (e.g., BBC, The Guardian, Financial Times) as holding a full Cabinet-level role in the Burnham administration.
- Resignation Definition: The minister must voluntarily step down from their Cabinet post (including resignations in protest, for personal reasons, or when requested/pressured to do so by the Prime Minister, provided a formal resignation is submitted and accepted).
- Being sacked, dismissed, or removed directly by the Prime Minister without resigning first.
- Being reassigned to a different Cabinet role during a reshuffle.
