Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva 90%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+2.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Oca 26 21:08 UTC4 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Will all third-way candidates stay below 10%?
Manifold MarketsWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will participate in at least one televised Brazilian presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- A candidate must receive more than 50 percent of the vote in the first round to win outright.
- If no candidate does so, the top two candidates head to a runoff.
- The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25 if needed.
- Resolution will be based on official results reported by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE) at https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/.
- A candidate resolves "Yes" if they advance to the runoff or win outright in the first round; otherwise "No".
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ekim 2026.
- Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria