Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.8%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Ağu 25 12:07 UTC1 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsBarack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsObama arrested before 2027?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.
- Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
- However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
- This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,7 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt44%
- Renan Santos+0.5pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.9pt99%
- Dan McKee+0.7pt1%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺36,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate44.3%
- D-House, R-Senate34.9%
- R-House, R-Senate+5.0pt18.9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺582,6 Mn
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Sık sorulan sorular
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2029.
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.