Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 65.5%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eyl 26 04:43 UTC31 Ağu 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
New York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026
PolymarketHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
PolymarketWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExKurallar
At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
- Yes: As reported by the US Drought Monitor, large parts of California are in at least a moderate drought as per the U.S. Drought Monitor at UNL.
- No: Most of California is either not in a drought, or at most "abnormally dry".
- The measure is if there's a drought in August, so this won't close early if there's a widespread drought sooner.
- https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West
- Resolution criteria
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+3.0pt32.7%
- 90° or above+12.0pt27.9%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt24%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+48.0pt92.4%
- 94° or above-2.0pt3.8%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt0.9%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+6.0pt48.1%
- 79° or below+40.0pt45.4%
- 82° to 83°-33.0pt3.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+62.0pt94.1%
- 28°C-14.5pt5%
- 29°C-5.6pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+45.0pt74.6%
- 95° to 96°-11.0pt18.4%
- 97° to 98°+1.0pt3.5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ağustos 2028.
- At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?