At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
PolitikaOne-OffABD Siyaseti18yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli23 Ağu 24 19:10 UTC2 Şub 45 05:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves YES when, at any point prior to market close, any one political party besides the Republican Party or Democratic Party simultaneously has ≥25 points from the following sources:
- State governor - worth 8 points
- US Senator - worth 8 points
- US House rep - worth 3 points
- POTUS - worth 25 points
- For example, if the Green Party held 2 US Senate seats and 3 US House seats at the same time (8 + 8 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 25), this market would resolve YES.
