Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNot charged 50%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+16.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Kas 26 02:45 UTC1 Oca 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Jensen Huang suffers legal consequences due to honeypot scandal
Manifold MarketsAlice Huang arrested by which date?
PolymarketAlice Huang federally charged by?
PolymarketWill "Megaspeed" or the Alice Huang spy probe come up on Nvidia's November 17 earnings call?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a scandal about Will MacAskill in the next 2 years.
Manifold MarketsWill Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the legal and custodial status of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le) in relation to U.S. federal criminal law enforcement as of 11:59 PM ET on January 1, 2028:
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has not been named in an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or criminal complaint alleging espionage, theft of trade secrets, export control violations, wire fraud, or related conspiracy by the resolution date.
- If charges were filed but fully dismissed or dropped before the cutoff, the market will also resolve to this option.
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has been charged under an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or complaint and is physically within U.S. custody (including detention in a U.S. federal or state facility, or released on bond/bail under conditions set by a U.S. federal court) on January 1, 2028.
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has been charged under an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or complaint, but is not in U.S. custody (e.g., remaining outside the United States, classified as a fugitive, or detained solely by a foreign government pending extradition) on January 1, 2028.