Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
24 Tem 2026 19:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahmini90-100% 42%+1.8pt12 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Oca 26 23:1031 Ara 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
<20%1%
Platformları karşılaştır· 90-100%
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurGenel en iyi%93 eşleşme · oto | Düşük | 50% | — | ₺0 | ₺279 B | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 42% | — | — | — | 3 gün önce |
Futuur üzerinde de mevcut
What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
5ay
52.6%
31.6%
10.5%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
36 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺2,1 B
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURKurallar
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$5023 Tem2g veri24 Tem
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(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.