Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
38.9 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim1sManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini3-6 points behind 58.9%+38.9pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+38.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Kas 26 10:06 UTC4 Kas 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
Manifold MarketsWill Jocelyn Benson win the Michigan general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?
Manifold MarketsKeisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)
PolymarketPeggy Flanagan runs behind Amy Klobuchar by which date?
PolymarketJosh Turek runs behind Rob Sand by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
The 2026 Michigan general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Michigan, and Jocelyn Benson is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan.
- This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Abdul El-Sayed’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election falls below Jocelyn Benson’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
- If El-Sayed’s vote share exceeds Benson’s, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding.
- For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.
