Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEl Sayed 1% or more 72.8%-4.2pt15 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
73
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+2.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
30 Eki 26 23:44 UTC4 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official certified general election results published by the Michigan Department of State / Michigan Board of State Canvassers.
- Can resolve early if reporting from Associated Press has a clear resolution.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the percentage of the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed and the percentage received by Mike Rogers (i.e., El-Sayed % - Rogers %), rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
- multiple threshold options can resolve YES:
- El Sayed wins: Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed receives more votes than Mike Rogers.
