Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBen Allen 66.8%-3.0pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-2.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 May 26 03:42 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election by the California Secretary of State.
- The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The resolution will be based on the official final election results published by the California Secretary of State's Office.
- If the election is canceled or the office remains vacant for any reason, the market will resolve N/A. The 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election is a high-profile contest to succeed incumbent Ricardo Lara, who is term-limited and ineligible for re-election.