Veri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
6 Eki 2026 01:28 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%3 seçenek arasında lider
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%Piyasa kalitesi
22 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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5 Eki 26 13:02 UTC22 Ağu 28 14:00 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
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KalshiKurallar
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? · Alberto Núñez Feijóo 73%