KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
29 Eki 2026 23:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 64% · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 64% 97%11 seçenek arasında lider
At least 64% 97%Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$1,7 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least 64%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli19 Eyl 26 00:00 UTC3 Kas 27 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 64%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Commissions, Elections and Legislation, Department of State, Harrisburg, PA
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 68%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 72%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 73%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 73% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 74%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 75% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 76%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 78%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
