How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
10.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffSeçim1ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 8 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 8 86%8 seçenek arasında lider
At least 8 86%Piyasa kalitesi
59 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺116,8 B
Açık pozisyon
$3,4 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
At least 8Spread
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Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Kas 26 15:45 UTC3 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 8
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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KalshiKurallar
If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 16 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Senate DemocratsThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on it, as reported by a Source Agency. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027, including if the caucus elects its leader without one (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent). A report that the leader was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. If Chris Van Hollen withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 8
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 8 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 12 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 16 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 20
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 20 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 24
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 24 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 22 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 32 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 28
- If the number of votes cast for Chris Van Hollen on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 28 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
