KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 76%
Piyasa kalitesi
40 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺18,5 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
22.0% / 29.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 23:00 UTC3 Kas 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.