Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
One-OffPolitikaSeçimABD Siyaseti14g
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
26 Eki 2026 18:05 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Hayır · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Hayır 57%
Hayır 57%Piyasa kalitesi
33 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺99,5
Açık pozisyon
$2,1 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
HayırSpread
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Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli15 Oca 26 15:00 UTC10 Kas 26 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Hayır
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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KalshiKurallar
Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
- For the purposes of this market, any candidate that is not officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered independent or third party, regardless of whether they join a party’s caucus or conference after the election. For example, Senator Bernie Sanders would be considered an independent candidate. Third party or independent candidates who accept the endorsement of the Democratic or Republican party will still count if they are not officially affiliated or do not explicitly represent either of the two major parties. However, candidates that are officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will NOT count, even if they have the formal support of other third parties (such as the Working Families or Conservative parties in New York). The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline. If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Her sonucun kuralı
- No
- Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
- Yes
- Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
