Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
5.0 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçimUS Politics1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 62%
Piyasa kalitesi
61 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺49,3 B
Likidite
₺92,3 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
35.0% / 38.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Oca 26 15:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
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Robinhood (Rothera)Kurallar
If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this market, any candidate that is not officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered independent or third party, regardless of whether they join a party’s caucus or conference after the election.
- For example, Senator Bernie Sanders would be considered an independent candidate.
- Third party or independent candidates who accept the endorsement of the Democratic or Republican party will still count if they are not officially affiliated or do not explicitly represent either of the two major parties.
- However, candidates that are officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will NOT count, even if they have the formal support of other third parties (such as the Working Families or Conservative parties in New York).
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.