KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Transgender (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 10 Eyl 2026 04:41
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
10 Eyl 2026 13:37 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Transgender93%
NATO0%
Rigged Election1%
Event does not qualify2%
Barack Hussein Obama47%
Biden87%
America First1%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat82%
Israel / Israeli1%
Healthcare84%
Kamala1%
Drill Baby Drill1%
Fentanyl66%
Venezuela83%
Fraud99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Nobel0%
Mental Institution1%
Scholarship1%
DEI / Woke53%
Ballroom50%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement1%
Windmill0%
Landslide75%
Communist / Communism83%
China / Chinese75%
Save America Act0%
Space Force43%
Cheat / Cheated / Cheater59%
Supreme Court63%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline75%
Sanctuary1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability86%
Radical Left86%
MAGA / Make America Great Again75%
TransgenderKazandı
Barack Hussein ObamaKaybetti
BidenKaybetti
Dumbocrat / DumacratKaybetti
HealthcareKaybetti
FentanylKaybetti
VenezuelaKaybetti
FraudKaybetti
DEI / WokeKaybetti
BallroomKaybetti
LandslideKaybetti
Communist / CommunismKaybetti
China / ChineseKaybetti
Save America ActKaybetti
Space ForceKaybetti
Cheat / Cheated / CheaterKaybetti
Supreme CourtKaybetti
Oil / Gas / GasolineKaybetti
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKaybetti
Radical LeftKaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1) will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.