KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 1, 2030 38%4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
61 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺484,9
Likidite
₺7 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Oca 26 15:00 UTC1 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
KalshiWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold Marketswill the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold MarketsWill AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the U.S. State Department
- Advisories dated for future events must be effective the named outcome to qualify.
- The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
- A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
- A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
Açık piyasalar
ChinaKALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+2.0pt78.6%
- Puerto Rico-1.0pt21.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺21,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.0pt68%
- Moonshot-5.0pt27%
- Z.ai+2.3pt4%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺635,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺860,4 B
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Total
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 1, 2030 için 38% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.