KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Democrat · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Democrat 84.5%15 seçenek arasında lider
Democrat 84.5%Piyasa kalitesi
55 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺143 B
Açık pozisyon
$2,8 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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DemocratSpread
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Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Kas 26 16:00 UTC24 Kas 26 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Democrat
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will John Thune be elected Senate Republican leader on Nov 10?
KalshiWill Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). John Thune speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Democrat
- If John Thune says Democrat as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If John Thune says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax
- If John Thune says Tax as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If John Thune says Midterm as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If John Thune says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hegseth
- If John Thune says Hegseth as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Impeach / Impeachment
- If John Thune says Impeach / Impeachment as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If John Thune says Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If John Thune says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If John Thune says Inflation as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Schumer
- If John Thune says Schumer as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Filibuster
- If John Thune says Filibuster as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If John Thune says Biden as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If John Thune says American Dream as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.