KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
30 Eki 2026 00:48 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
People's Party · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
People's Party 82%4 seçenek arasında lider
People's Party 82%Piyasa kalitesi
47 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$16,1 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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People's PartySpread
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Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli15 Tem 25 14:00 UTC22 Ağu 27 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · People's Party
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Spanish general election: voter turnout
KalshiSpanish general election: Vox vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Her sonucun kuralı
- People's Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sumar
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 81%
