KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
People's Party, 3-6% · —
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Kayıtlı fiyat
People's Party, 3-6% 24.5%7 seçenek arasında lider
People's Party, 3-6% 24.5%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
₺123,3 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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People's Party, 3-6%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Eki 26 21:00 UTC29 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · People's Party, 3-6%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes received by the party named in the market minus the share received by the party that finishes second if the named party finishes first, or minus the share of the party that finishes first if the named party does not. If the named party finishes first, the margin will be positive; if it does not, the margin will be negative; if it ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Vote shares are the nationwide percentages of valid votes (which in Spain include blank ballots) in the official Congress of Deputies results published by the Ministerio del Interior, under which votes for a party's regional affiliate lists (for example, PSC-PSOE for PSOE) count toward that party. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 3-6% and 6-9%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 3-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-9% range.
Her sonucun kuralı
- People's Party, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 9-12%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 9% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PSOE, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PSOE, ≥3%
- If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
