Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
3.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim3ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Texas 34.8%+3.0pt16 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
52 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺2,8 Mn
Likidite
₺2,7 Mn
Yüksek likiditePiyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Eyl 26 21:00 UTC3 Oca 27 13:59 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiKurallar
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-1.3pt15%
+50 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,9 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,1 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.5pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,8 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.1pt8.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.2pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt12%
+50 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.0pt79%
- December 31+1.9pt63%
- November 30+1.5pt50%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
- Texas Senate winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Maine Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 25 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Texas için 34.8% fiyatlıyor.
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Ocak 2027.
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.