Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
11.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim3ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Florida 38.2%+11.0pt20 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
62 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺7,6 Mn
Likidite
₺6,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditePiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Eyl 26 21:00 UTC3 Oca 27 13:59 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Federal Election CommissionMassachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections DivisionDelaware Department of ElectionsOregon Secretary of State, Elections DivisionRhode Island Board of ElectionsColorado Secretary of StateIllinois State Board of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsNew Mexico Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNew Jersey Division of ElectionsVirginia Department of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsOhio Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsAlaska Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of State
- A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Trump won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican.
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
Açık piyasalar
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
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- Republicans sweep+0.7pt8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-0.1pt51%
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+39 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 25 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Florida için 38.2% fiyatlıyor.
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Ocak 2027.
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.