KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Trump +5 or more · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
Kayıtlı fiyat
Trump +5 or more 98%8 seçenek arasında lider
Trump +5 or more 98%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
$39,9 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Trump +5 or moreSpread
—
Piyasa verileri
18 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Eki 26 16:47 UTC15 Ara 26 14:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Trump +5 or more
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
—
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win CA House District 24
Manifold MarketsUS House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
Manifold MarketsWho will win Colorado House district CO-1 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiKurallar
If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A district's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of the 2024 presidential vote in that district minus Kamala Harris's share, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections, as shown in the table to one decimal place (the table lists Democratic minus Republican, so reverse its sign). Those margins are fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the table do NOT change them. The margin is negative where Harris won. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the November 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning January 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Trump +5 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +10 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +15 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +18 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 18 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +20 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +22 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +25 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump +30 or more
- If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 30 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
