KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSağlayıcı tarafından piyasa piyasa sonuçlandırıldı
Sonuçlandı: 9 Eki 2026 15:24
Bu etkinliğin tek bir kazananı yok. Sağlayıcı her piyasayı ayrı ayrı sonuçlandırdı; her piyasa kendi sonucunu gösteriyor.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
9 Eki 2026 14:25 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
34 or more1%
2 or more2%
37 or more1%
40 or more1%
45 or more1%
52 or more1%
4 or more2%
8 or more2%
24 or more2%
27 or more2%
20 or more2%
31 or more2%
2 or moreKaybetti
4 or moreKaybetti
8 or moreKaybetti
12 or moreKaybetti
20 or moreKaybetti
24 or moreKaybetti
27 or moreKaybetti
31 or moreKaybetti
34 or moreKaybetti
37 or moreKaybetti
40 or moreKaybetti
45 or moreKaybetti
52 or moreKaybetti
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 2 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.