KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Patrick Roath, ≥4% 2%5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
31 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺304,6 B
Orta likiditePiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
27 Ağu 26 19:24 UTC1 Eyl 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
Kurallar
If the margin of victory for Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Patrick Roath minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Patrick Roath if Patrick Roath wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Patrick Roath loses.
- If Patrick Roath wins, the margin will be positive; if Patrick Roath loses, the margin will be negative; if Patrick Roath ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Patrick Roath runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Patrick Roath, ≥4% için 2% fiyatlıyor.
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Eylül 2027.
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Patrick Roath) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the margin of victory for Patrick Roath in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.