KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Richard Neal, ≥5% 90.8%11 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺603,7 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
27 Ağu 26 19:45 UTC1 Eyl 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Richard Neal minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Richard Neal if Richard Neal wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Richard Neal loses.
- If Richard Neal wins, the margin will be positive; if Richard Neal loses, the margin will be negative; if Richard Neal ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Richard Neal runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Richard Neal, ≥5% için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Eylül 2027.
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.