KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Ed Markey, ≥20% 86.8%12 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1,3 B
Likidite
₺2,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Haz 26 15:01 UTC1 Eyl 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
KalshiTennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?
KalshiCT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
KalshiNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketDelaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner
PolymarketWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Office of the Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Markey minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Markey minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Markey wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Markey minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Markey does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Ed Markey, ≥20% için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Eylül 2027.
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.