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England and Wales
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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. Politika
  3. Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

One-OffPolitikaSeçimEurope6ay
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet
Evet 14%
Piyasa kalitesi

24 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺1,9 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

9.9% / 20.0%

Spread

102.0%

Geniş spread
Piyasa verileri

1 dakika önce guncellendi

3 Oca 26 15:001 Oca 27 4:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes14%

Kurallar

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.

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Kurallar

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.