KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
5 Eki 2026 07:26 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
1 or more 0%3 seçenek arasında lider
1 or more 0%Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
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Açık pozisyon bilinmiyorSpread
55.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Eki 26 00:30 UTC1 Kas 26 03:59 UTC
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İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsMore than 1000 cases of Irkutsk Plague?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
KalshiConfirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketKurallar
If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Rospotrebnadzor
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (November 8). Only cases that Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, confirms after Issuance and before November 1, 2026 count. Cases newly reported during the window between November 1 and Expiration do not count, even if they are backdated to the specified time period. A case is a human infection with Yersinia pestis (plague in any form) in Irkutsk Oblast, including a posthumous confirmation, and each infected person counts once. Suspected cases, and illness described as pneumonia of undetermined etiology, do not count.
Her sonucun kuralı
- 1 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.