Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolitikaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsSeçimSpor6ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
10 Eyl 2026 19:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
National 0%7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
31 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Eyl 26 02:00 UTC15 Mar 27 14:00 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla National için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 15 Mart 2027.
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.