KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
No other person 52.1%+11.0pt17 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
57 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺2,5 B
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Nis 25 14:0020 Oca 29 15:00
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kurallar
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt100%
- Seth Moulton-1.4pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺132 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺63,4 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,8 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.2pt61%
- October 31+2.5pt39%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 1 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No other person için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.