KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Yes, 3-6% 4%-5.3pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3,1 Mn
Likidite
₺1,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
0.2 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
108 gün önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Mar 26 21:0021 Nis 27 14:00
Trendler
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Kurallar
If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment falls at least 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Yes minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Yes minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Yes if Yes wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Yes loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Yes wins, or the electoral votes received by Yes minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Yes does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
