KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
9 Eyl 2026 09:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Republicans, 13+ pts 0%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
33 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
6.4 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
5 May 26 20:26 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 4th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.2pt0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺38,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.7pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Utah's 4th District margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Republicans, 13+ pts için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- Utah's 4th District margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Utah's 4th District margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Utah's 4th District margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 4th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.