KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hochul, 4+ pts 92%+3.8pt9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
52 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺64,4 B
Likidite
₺646,8 B
Orta likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
14 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Nis 26 14:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.6pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,4 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺35,1 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-31.9pt53.1%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.0pt45.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,4 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24 Mn
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Sık sorulan sorular
- New York Governor margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Hochul, 4+ pts için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- New York Governor margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- New York Governor margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- New York Governor margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.