KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Moolenaar, 15+ pts 85%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
30 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺26,6 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
8.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
5 May 26 20:23 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
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0%
0%
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺102,4 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-28.9pt53%
- Delcy Rodríguez+23.5pt39%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.4pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt9.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- What will Trump say this week?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 21 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Moolenaar, 15+ pts için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.