KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democrats, 26+ pts 92%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
43 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺48,4 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
5 May 26 20:22 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 1st District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Illinois's 1st District margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democrats, 26+ pts için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Illinois's 1st District margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Illinois's 1st District margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Illinois's 1st District margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 1st District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.