KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
8 Eyl 2026 20:35 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Democrats, 17+ pts 0%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
9.8 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eyl 26 14:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
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Kurallar
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 51st District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- California's 51st District margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democrats, 17+ pts için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- California's 51st District margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- California's 51st District margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- California's 51st District margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 51st District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.