California's 23rd District margin of victory
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Obernolte, 2+ pts · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Obernolte, 2+ pts 92.5%9 seçenek arasında lider
Obernolte, 2+ pts 92.5%Piyasa kalitesi
29 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$1 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Obernolte, 2+ ptsSpread
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Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eyl 26 14:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Obernolte, 2+ pts
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Her sonucun kuralı
- Obernolte, 2+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 8+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 11+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 14+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 17+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 20+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 23+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Obernolte, 26+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
