KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Republicans, 1+ pts 25%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
38 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺81,2 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
5 May 26 20:20 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Republicans, 1+ pts için 25% fiyatlıyor.
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Arizona's 1st District margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.