KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 60%
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺35 B
Likidite
₺76,5 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
39.0% / 42.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Ağu 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 28 15:00 UTC
Trendler
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PolymarketKurallar
If, after Issuance and before January 1, 2028, Matthew McConaughey publicly announces that he will run for any government office in any election year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Matthew McConaugheyThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt43%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If, after Issuance and before January 1, 2028, Matthew McConaughey publicly announces that he will run for any government office in any election year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.