KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmış sonuç bekleniyor
CoinRithm bu piyasayı sonuçlanmış saymadan önce sağlayıcı onaylı sonucu bekler.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%3 seçenek arasında lider
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Piyasa kalitesi
32 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
$9,6 B
Orta açık pozisyonPiyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Ağu 26 00:41 UTC1 Eyl 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
Before Nov 7, 20264%
Before Sep 1, 2026Kaybetti
Before Oct 1, 2026Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsSébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Christopher LuxonThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (New Zealand)CNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Nov 7, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
