KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Troy Carter 12%+6.9pt
Piyasa kalitesi
46 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺17,5 B
Likidite
₺430,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
7.7% / 15.0%
Spread
7.3 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Şub 26 15:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiArbitrage opportunity between Kalshi and Polymarket on Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic nominee disappears by:
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Democratic Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
- If Louisiana law is amended to restore a formal nomination process for U.S. House races, or if the relevant state party formally designates a nominee for a given seat, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
