KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
LA-02 97%6 seçenek arasında lider
LA-02 97%Piyasa kalitesi
54 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1 B
Açık pozisyon
₺203,4 B
Orta açık pozisyonSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Eyl 26 23:00 UTC3 Kas 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 2nd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Louisiana Secretary of State
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.
Her sonucun kuralı
- LA-02
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 2nd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-04
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 4th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-01
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-03
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 3rd Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-05
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 5th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- LA-06
- If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 6th Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.