KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Socialism / Socialist (98%)
Sonuçlandı: 11 Eyl 2026 13:56
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Eyl 2026 13:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Socialism / Socialist98%
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act99%
Trump (3+ times)37%
Border79%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax79%
Election / Midterm80%
Democrat80%
Transgender1%
Immigrant / Immigration1%
Talarico1%
Supreme Court1%
Schumer1%
Shutdown / Shut Down60%
Event does not qualify1%
SAVE America Act / SAVE ActKaybetti
Trump (3+ times)Kaybetti
BorderKaybetti
Tax Cut / Cut TaxKaybetti
Election / MidtermKaybetti
DemocratKaybetti
Socialism / SocialistKazandı
TransgenderKaybetti
Immigrant / ImmigrationKaybetti
TalaricoKaybetti
Supreme CourtKaybetti
SchumerKaybetti
Shutdown / Shut DownKaybetti
Event does not qualifyKaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson win the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.