Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%11 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
38 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺366,3 B
Orta likiditeSpread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Ağu 26 00:32 UTC22 Ara 28 15:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt55%
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+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,1 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-3.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Giorgia Meloni için 44% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 22 Aralık 2028.
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.