KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
At least 4% · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
At least 4% 51%9 seçenek arasında lider
At least 4% 51%Piyasa kalitesi
20 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$3,7 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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At least 4%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
56 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli22 Eki 26 22:00 UTC3 Şub 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · At least 4%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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KalshiKurallar
If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Central Elections Committee for the Knesset
- The value is the combined percentage of valid votes cast for all lists that fail the 3.25% electoral threshold in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election (the lists allocated no seats), calculated as 100 × (the sum of the votes received by those lists ÷ total valid votes) using the per-list vote totals and total valid votes in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results, rounded to two decimal places. Whether a list passes the threshold is decided on unrounded vote totals: a list whose unrounded share is 3.25% or more is not counted, and only the combined value is rounded. A joint list counts as one list. A list that has withdrawn from the race but remains on the ballot is counted if the results record votes for it. Preliminary results do not qualify. Invalid ballots are excluded from the numerator and the denominator. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Her sonucun kuralı
- At least 4%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 4% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 5% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 9% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 8% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 2% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 3% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 7% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 10% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.