KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%10 seçenek arasında lider
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺147 B
Açık pozisyon
$2,9 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Kas 26 22:30 UTC31 Ara 29 21:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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PolymarketKurallar
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX "between" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.