KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Above 400,000 jobs · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Above 400,000 jobs 41.5%7 seçenek arasında lider
Above 400,000 jobs 41.5%Piyasa kalitesi
38 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺135,6 B
Açık pozisyon
$1,9 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
Above 400,000 jobsSpread
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Piyasa verileri
20 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eki 26 23:00 UTC8 Oca 27 13:29 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Above 400,000 jobs
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many jobs added in October?
PolymarketWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 40,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,000 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceed 15,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExUS retail sales in October
KalshiKurallar
If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001). The expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies. The measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Above 400,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 400,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 350,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 350,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 500,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 500,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 550,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 550,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 600,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 600,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.